Actor Ben Affleck poses backstage with the award for best cast in a motion picture for "Argo" at the 19th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles on Sunday Jan. 27, 2013. (Photo by Chris Pizzello/Invision/AP)
Dick Van Dyke accepts the Screen Actors Guild Life Achievement Award at the 19th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles on Sunday, Jan. 27, 2013. (Photo by John Shearer/Invision/AP)
Actors, from left, Phyllis Logan, Michelle Dockery, Allen Leech, Amy Nuttall and Sophie McShera pose backstage with the award for best ensemble in a drama series for "Downton Abbey" at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. (Photo by Chris Pizzello/Invision/AP)
LOS ANGELES — A few weeks ago, the Oscar race looked wide open. The stately, historical “Lincoln” seemed like the safe and likely choice, with the provocative “Zero Dark Thirty” and the quirky and inspiring “Silver Linings Playbook” very much in the mix for the …